48-hour basket trend, with a "what if" line
Each line is the share of retail traders long a currency (and gold), hour by hour, over the last 48 trading hours. Weekends are cut out so the gaps don't distort the picture.
- Contrarian read: crowd buying a currency is a bearish lean; crowd selling is a bullish lean.
- Watch the slope, not just the level. A line falling fast means retail is dumping that currency right now.
- Dashed tail = "what if the trend holds" — where each line lands over the next 4 hours if it keeps its current pace. It's a projection to frame the day, not a forecast.
In this sample, the gold crowd slid from the low 70s to around 52% long over two days, while NZD sat stubbornly near 85% long the whole time.



